Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks

In semiarid areas, precipitations usually appear in the form of big and brief floods, which affect the aquifer through water infiltration, causing groundwater temperature changes. These changes may have an impact on the physical, chemical and biological processes of the aquifer and, thus, modeling t...

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Main Authors: Maldonado González, Ana Devaki, Morales Giraldo, María, Navarro Martínez, Francisco, Sánchez Martos, Francisco, Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro
Format: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Language:English
Published: MDPI 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10835/13264
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author Maldonado González, Ana Devaki
Morales Giraldo, María
Navarro Martínez, Francisco
Sánchez Martos, Francisco
Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro
author_facet Maldonado González, Ana Devaki
Morales Giraldo, María
Navarro Martínez, Francisco
Sánchez Martos, Francisco
Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro
author_sort Maldonado González, Ana Devaki
collection DSpace
description In semiarid areas, precipitations usually appear in the form of big and brief floods, which affect the aquifer through water infiltration, causing groundwater temperature changes. These changes may have an impact on the physical, chemical and biological processes of the aquifer and, thus, modeling the groundwater temperature variations associated with stormy precipitation episodes is essential, especially since this kind of precipitation is becoming increasingly frequent in semiarid regions. In this paper, we compare the predictive performance of two popular tools in statistics and machine learning, namely Bayesian networks (BNs) and artificial neural networks (ANNs), in modeling groundwater temperature variation associated with precipitation events. More specifically, we trained a total of 2145 ANNs with different node configurations, from one to five layers. On the other hand, we trained three different BNs using different structure learning algorithms. We conclude that, while both tools are equivalent in terms of accuracy for predicting groundwater temperature drops, the computational cost associated with the estimation of Bayesian networks is significantly lower, and the resulting BN models are more versatile and allow a more detailed analysis.
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spelling oai:repositorio.ual.es:10835-132642023-04-12T18:58:09Z Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks Maldonado González, Ana Devaki Morales Giraldo, María Navarro Martínez, Francisco Sánchez Martos, Francisco Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro Bayesian networks artificial neural networks groundwater temperature classification semiarid areas In semiarid areas, precipitations usually appear in the form of big and brief floods, which affect the aquifer through water infiltration, causing groundwater temperature changes. These changes may have an impact on the physical, chemical and biological processes of the aquifer and, thus, modeling the groundwater temperature variations associated with stormy precipitation episodes is essential, especially since this kind of precipitation is becoming increasingly frequent in semiarid regions. In this paper, we compare the predictive performance of two popular tools in statistics and machine learning, namely Bayesian networks (BNs) and artificial neural networks (ANNs), in modeling groundwater temperature variation associated with precipitation events. More specifically, we trained a total of 2145 ANNs with different node configurations, from one to five layers. On the other hand, we trained three different BNs using different structure learning algorithms. We conclude that, while both tools are equivalent in terms of accuracy for predicting groundwater temperature drops, the computational cost associated with the estimation of Bayesian networks is significantly lower, and the resulting BN models are more versatile and allow a more detailed analysis. 2022-02-11T11:22:26Z 2022-02-11T11:22:26Z 2021-12-29 info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2227-7390 http://hdl.handle.net/10835/13264 10.3390/math10010107 en https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/1/107 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess MDPI
spellingShingle Bayesian networks
artificial neural networks
groundwater temperature
classification
semiarid areas
Maldonado González, Ana Devaki
Morales Giraldo, María
Navarro Martínez, Francisco
Sánchez Martos, Francisco
Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro
Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks
title Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks
title_full Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks
title_fullStr Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks
title_full_unstemmed Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks
title_short Modeling Semi-Arid River-Aquifer Systems With Bayesian Networks and Artificial Neural Networks
title_sort modeling semi-arid river-aquifer systems with bayesian networks and artificial neural networks
topic Bayesian networks
artificial neural networks
groundwater temperature
classification
semiarid areas
url http://hdl.handle.net/10835/13264
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