Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks
In Mediterranean areas, the co-evolution between social and natural systems has given rise to heterogeneous and complex systems of interactions called agroecosystems, in which strong relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows have been identified. In this context, water resources...
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| Format: | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| Language: | English |
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Springer
2024
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10835/15035 |
| _version_ | 1789406556836593664 |
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| author | Fernández Ropero, Rosa María Rumí Rodríguez, Rafael Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro |
| author_facet | Fernández Ropero, Rosa María Rumí Rodríguez, Rafael Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro |
| author_sort | Fernández Ropero, Rosa María |
| collection | DSpace |
| description | In Mediterranean areas, the co-evolution between social and natural systems has given rise to heterogeneous and complex systems of interactions called agroecosystems, in which strong relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows have been identified. In this context, water resources management is a prominent area of research, particularly in semi-arid conditions, where a special set of challenges requires novel tools to deal with uncertainty, multiple sources of information and expert knowledge. In this paper, Bayesian Networks are proposed as a means to model the relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in a Mediterranean agroecosystem, studying its behaviour under two scenarios of change in land use trends: maintenance of traditional Mediterranean agriculture, and agricultural intensification through the development of greenhouses. Results show that an increase in the area of traditional agriculture would lead to better control of runoff and increased primary productivity, measured as green water flows. By contrast, agricultural intensification of the territory would provoke an increase in evaporation and
water losses. Due to the versatility of Bayesian networks, results can be expressed not only as probabilities, but also using other metrics that can be computed from them. Accordingly, Sensitivity Analysis to Evidence, Sensitivity Analysis to Parameters and the Kullback–Leibler divergence were carried out. Bayesian Networks have demonstrated their ability to deal with uncertainty inherent to natural systems, combining expert knowledge, data from regional datasets and Geographical Information Systems, and automatic training algorithms giving robust and proper results. |
| format | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| id | oai:repositorio.ual.es:10835-15035 |
| institution | Universidad de Cuenca |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oai:repositorio.ual.es:10835-150352024-01-10T08:46:12Z Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks Fernández Ropero, Rosa María Rumí Rodríguez, Rafael Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro Bayesian networks Green and blue water Kullback–Leibler divergence Landscape change trends Mediterranean agroecosystems Sensitivity analysis In Mediterranean areas, the co-evolution between social and natural systems has given rise to heterogeneous and complex systems of interactions called agroecosystems, in which strong relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows have been identified. In this context, water resources management is a prominent area of research, particularly in semi-arid conditions, where a special set of challenges requires novel tools to deal with uncertainty, multiple sources of information and expert knowledge. In this paper, Bayesian Networks are proposed as a means to model the relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in a Mediterranean agroecosystem, studying its behaviour under two scenarios of change in land use trends: maintenance of traditional Mediterranean agriculture, and agricultural intensification through the development of greenhouses. Results show that an increase in the area of traditional agriculture would lead to better control of runoff and increased primary productivity, measured as green water flows. By contrast, agricultural intensification of the territory would provoke an increase in evaporation and water losses. Due to the versatility of Bayesian networks, results can be expressed not only as probabilities, but also using other metrics that can be computed from them. Accordingly, Sensitivity Analysis to Evidence, Sensitivity Analysis to Parameters and the Kullback–Leibler divergence were carried out. Bayesian Networks have demonstrated their ability to deal with uncertainty inherent to natural systems, combining expert knowledge, data from regional datasets and Geographical Information Systems, and automatic training algorithms giving robust and proper results. 2024-01-10T08:46:11Z 2024-01-10T08:46:11Z 2019 info:eu-repo/semantics/article R.F. Ropero, R. Rumí, P.A. Aguilera. Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 2019. 26, pag. 47-86 http://hdl.handle.net/10835/15035 en https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10651-019-00419-2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Springer |
| spellingShingle | Bayesian networks Green and blue water Kullback–Leibler divergence Landscape change trends Mediterranean agroecosystems Sensitivity analysis Fernández Ropero, Rosa María Rumí Rodríguez, Rafael Aguilera Aguilera, Pedro Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks |
| title | Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks |
| title_full | Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks |
| title_fullStr | Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks |
| title_short | Modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in Mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in Adra catchment (Spain) using Bayesian networks |
| title_sort | modelling relationships between socioeconomy, landscape and water flows in mediterranean agroecosystems: a case study in adra catchment (spain) using bayesian networks |
| topic | Bayesian networks Green and blue water Kullback–Leibler divergence Landscape change trends Mediterranean agroecosystems Sensitivity analysis |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/10835/15035 |
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